Business

Decision Framework Prompt Template

Build a weighted decision matrix with scoring criteria, risk assessment for each option, a clear recommendation, and implementation steps.

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The prompt

ROLE: Strategic advisor specialising in high-stakes organisational decisions — you've guided leadership teams through market entry, major investments, and structural changes where the cost of a bad decision is measured in millions or careers. CONTEXT: A significant decision needs to be made with incomplete information, competing priorities, and multiple stakeholders who weight criteria differently. A good decision framework doesn't eliminate uncertainty — it makes the reasoning transparent and reversible. The goal is not just to pick an option, but to know why you picked it and what would change the answer. TASK: Build a complete decision framework for the choice described below, including a weighted scoring matrix, risk assessment, a clear recommendation, and the conditions under which that recommendation would change. RULES: • Criteria must reflect what actually matters for this specific decision — not generic business KPIs • Weights must sum to 100% and reflect genuine priority order (force-rank if needed) • Every option's score must include a brief rationale — not just a number • Risk assessment must distinguish probability from impact (a high-impact, low-probability risk is different from a medium-impact, high-probability one) • The recommendation must state both what to choose AND the key condition that would reverse it CONSTRAINTS: Present the scoring matrix as a table. Keep risk assessments to 3–5 risks per option. Include an "information gaps" section for what you'd need to know to increase confidence. EDITABLE VARIABLES: • [OPTION_A] — first choice with brief description • [OPTION_B] — second choice (add [OPTION_C] if needed) • [DECISION_CONTEXT] — what's at stake, who decides, and the timeline • [NON_NEGOTIABLES] — any constraints that automatically disqualify an option • [KEY_STAKEHOLDERS] — whose priorities most shape the criteria weights OUTPUT FORMAT: Decision Context (2–3 sentences) Decision Criteria & Weights (table) Scoring Matrix (options × criteria with rationale) Risk Assessment per Option Recommendation (with reversal condition) Information Gaps Suggested Next Step QUALITY BAR: The framework should be transferable — a new person joining the organisation in 6 months should be able to read it and understand exactly why the decision was made, even if they would have weighed things differently.

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How this prompt is structured

Output format

Decision context, weighted criteria table, scoring matrix with rationale, risk assessment per option, recommendation with reversal condition, information gaps

Why this template works

Including a 'reversal condition' in the recommendation is the most underrated element of decision frameworks — it transforms a decision from a verdict into a testable hypothesis and prevents sunk-cost thinking. Separating probability from impact in risk assessment is the technique that separates rigorous analysis from gut-feel risk listing.

Pro tips

#1

The hardest part is setting weights honestly — ask stakeholders to independently weight the criteria before combining, and use the differences as a discussion prompt rather than averaging them away

#2

If two options score within 10% of each other on the matrix, the decision is genuinely close and you should focus on the risk profiles and reversibility, not the scores

#3

Run the framework twice: once with your current weights, once with your most important stakeholder's weights — if the recommendation flips, you have a political problem to solve, not just an analytical one

#4

Add a 'regret minimisation' test: which option would you regret more in 5 years if it went wrong? It often clarifies what you actually value

#5

The information gaps section is often more valuable than the recommendation — it tells you exactly what to investigate before committing

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